REP.MC Repsol, S.A. audit FLAG
Thesis
Three-night ladder slide continues: #2 -> #4, 70.52 -> 67.45 -> 64.37 (tech 8->7 on the Tuesday bar 29.36 -> 28.69 EUR, −2.28% — audit: raw cached bar exact, 4.66M shares). Board's best all-columns-clean energy fundamental: fund 56.0 (#7), FCF/mcap 5.1 (identity audit-exact: 5365-3746=1619M EUR), ND/mcap 31.6, ROE 21.1; P/E 5.25 vs fwd 6.25 -> implied ~16% EPS decline, no trap. MACD has gone BEARISH (was the board's cleanest trend), RSI 44.8, −2.46% below 50DMA, still +19.69% over a strongly rising 200DMA (slope +6.16), w52 pos 82.9. Audit live: Wednesday vendor row = 3.66M-share volume with NaN close = published-session-pending; settled Wed Milan bar arrives with tomorrow's run. Do-not-chase stands.
Scores
| Composite | 64.37 |
|---|---|
| Fundamenteel (0–100) | 56.0 |
| Technisch (−3…+10) | 7.0 |
Bull/bear-auditdebat (2026-11-12): FLAG · score stands · bear-twijfel: The bull dismissed the forward P/E (6.25) exceeding the trailing P/E (5.25) as a "margin of safety," failing to address that this spread explicitly signals consensus expectations of earnings compression, which contradicts the "growth" narrative supported by…. Geen financieel advies.
Koers (2 jaar)
koers (index, start = 100)pick-datumsettle-venster (5/20/60 handelsdagen)stop-niveau (2,5× ATR)
Base-100 vanaf 2024-11-12; laatste staaf 2026-11-10. Koers in quotevaluta, niet fx-gecorrigeerd. Schatting €: € 28.69 via wisselkoers 2026-11-11
Picks op deze grafiek (47)
| Nacht | Rank | Prijs toen | Perf. sinds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 7 | 28.91 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-13 | 7 | 28.92 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-14 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-15 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-16 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-17 | 5 | 29.38 EUR | -2.4% |
| 2026-09-18 | 6 | 29.19 EUR | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-19 | 6 | 29.19 EUR | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-20 | 4 | 29.19 EUR | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-21 | 4 | 29.61 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-09-18 | 4 | 29.61 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-09-21 | 10 | 29.24 EUR | -1.9% |
| 2026-09-21 | 10 | 29.24 EUR | -1.9% |
| 2026-09-25 | 7 | 30.75 EUR | -6.7% |
| 2026-09-25 | 7 | 30.75 EUR | -6.7% |
| 2026-09-29 | 5 | 29.80 EUR | -3.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | 9 | 29.03 EUR | -1.2% |
| 2026-10-06 | 6 | 28.76 EUR | -0.2% |
| 2026-10-07 | 6 | 28.64 EUR | +0.2% |
| 2026-10-09 | 6 | 29.52 EUR | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-09 | 6 | 29.52 EUR | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-09 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-09 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-09 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-13 | 6 | 29.62 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-13 | 6 | 29.62 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-15 | 10 | 29.64 EUR | -3.2% |
| 2026-10-19 | 10 | 29.61 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-20 | 9 | 29.01 EUR | -1.1% |
| 2026-10-21 | 6 | 29.36 EUR | -2.3% |
| 2026-10-22 | 9 | 28.26 EUR | +1.5% |
| 2026-10-23 | 6 | 29.46 EUR | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-23 | 4 | 29.46 EUR | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-23 | 4 | 29.46 EUR | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-26 | 8 | 29.45 EUR | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-30 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | -6.6% |
| 2026-10-30 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | -6.6% |
| 2026-10-30 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | -6.6% |
| 2026-11-02 | 2 | 29.97 EUR | -4.3% |
| 2026-11-04 | 1 | 29.75 EUR | -3.6% |
| 2026-11-04 | 2 | 29.75 EUR | -3.6% |
| 2026-11-05 | 3 | 30.21 EUR | -5.0% |
| 2026-11-06 | 2 | 29.90 EUR | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-06 | 2 | 29.90 EUR | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-06 | 1 | 29.90 EUR | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-09 | 2 | 29.36 EUR | -2.3% |
| 2026-11-10 | 4 | 28.69 EUR | — |
Belangrijkste metrics
| P/E (trailing) | 5.25 |
|---|---|
| P/B | 1.28 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.59 |
| PEG | 0.43 |
| ROE | 21.1% |
| Omzetgroei YoY | 51.8% |
| Verdict | Trend OK but cautious: MACD bearish (19.69% vs 200DMA, RSI 44.8) |
⚭ datakwaliteit: geen 5j-PE-mediaan
Technische indicatoren
Alleen getoond waar onze eigen backtests een bewezen signaal tonen (evidence-score ≥ 70, gepubliceerd in de trading-kb). Badges worden automatisch bijgewerkt bij elke build.
| RSI(14) — oversold-kant evidence 80/100 — onze eigen backtest | 44.8 |
|---|---|
| 200DMA-regime | 23.97 (<span class="pos">+19.7%</span>) |
| MACD(12,26,9) | -0.0666 · bearish |
| 52w-rangepositie | 82.9% van de 52w-range |
Geen financieel advies.
Voorgaande selecties (2026)
| Nacht | Rank | Prijs toen | ≈ EUR | Perf. sinds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 7 | 28.91 EUR | € 28.91 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-13 | 7 | 28.92 EUR | € 28.92 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-14 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | € 28.92 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-15 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | € 28.92 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-16 | 6 | 28.92 EUR | € 28.92 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-17 | 5 | 29.38 EUR | € 29.38 | -2.4% |
| 2026-09-18 | 6 | 29.19 EUR | € 29.19 | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-19 | 6 | 29.19 EUR | € 29.19 | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-20 | 4 | 29.19 EUR | € 29.19 | -1.7% |
| 2026-09-21 | 4 | 29.61 EUR | € 29.61 | -3.1% |
| 2026-09-22 | 4 | 29.61 EUR | € 29.61 | -3.1% |
| 2026-09-23 | 10 | 29.24 EUR | € 29.24 | -1.9% |
| 2026-09-24 | 10 | 29.24 EUR | € 29.24 | -1.9% |
| 2026-09-27 | 7 | 30.75 EUR | € 30.75 | -6.7% |
| 2026-09-28 | 7 | 30.75 EUR | € 30.75 | -6.7% |
| 2026-09-30 | 5 | 29.80 EUR | € 29.80 | -3.7% |
| 2026-10-05 | 9 | 29.03 EUR | € 29.03 | -1.2% |
| 2026-10-07 | 6 | 28.76 EUR | € 28.76 | -0.2% |
| 2026-10-08 | 6 | 28.64 EUR | € 28.64 | +0.2% |
| 2026-10-09 | 6 | 29.52 EUR | € 29.52 | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-10 | 6 | 29.52 EUR | € 29.52 | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-11 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | € 29.52 | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-12 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | € 29.52 | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-13 | 7 | 29.52 EUR | € 29.52 | -2.8% |
| 2026-10-14 | 6 | 29.62 EUR | € 29.62 | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6 | 29.62 EUR | € 29.62 | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-17 | 10 | 29.64 EUR | € 29.64 | -3.2% |
| 2026-10-21 | 10 | 29.61 EUR | € 29.61 | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-22 | 9 | 29.01 EUR | € 29.01 | -1.1% |
| 2026-10-23 | 6 | 29.36 EUR | € 29.36 | -2.3% |
| 2026-10-24 | 9 | 28.26 EUR | € 28.26 | +1.5% |
| 2026-10-25 | 6 | 29.46 EUR | € 29.46 | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-26 | 4 | 29.46 EUR | € 29.46 | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-27 | 4 | 29.46 EUR | € 29.46 | -2.6% |
| 2026-10-28 | 8 | 29.45 EUR | € 29.45 | -2.6% |
| 2026-11-01 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | € 30.73 | -6.6% |
| 2026-11-02 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | € 30.73 | -6.6% |
| 2026-11-03 | 2 | 30.73 EUR | € 30.73 | -6.6% |
| 2026-11-04 | 2 | 29.97 EUR | € 29.97 | -4.3% |
| 2026-11-05 | 1 | 29.75 EUR | € 29.75 | -3.6% |
| 2026-11-06 | 2 | 29.75 EUR | € 29.75 | -3.6% |
| 2026-11-07 | 3 | 30.21 EUR | € 30.21 | -5.0% |
| 2026-11-08 | 2 | 29.90 EUR | € 29.90 | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-09 | 2 | 29.90 EUR | € 29.90 | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-10 | 1 | 29.90 EUR | € 29.90 | -4.0% |
| 2026-11-11 | 2 | 29.36 EUR | € 29.36 | -2.3% |
| 2026-11-12 | 4 | 28.69 EUR | € 28.69 | — |