C4F.F CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Thesis
NEW SEAT #6, comp 64.37 (56.0/7) — pool re-entry verified (absent 11-01..11-04, last seen 10-31 ✓ recomputed). DEAD-TAPE PHANTOM SEAT (this audit's biggest data defect): the seeded 104.60 EUR anchor rides a ZERO-SHARE vendor print — LIVE pull shows Volume=0 on EVERY recent Frankfurt settled row (10-29 105.45/0, 10-30 110.20/0, 11-02 107.60/0, 11-03 104.60/0; 11-04 close=None on 20 shares). The US primary line CF settled Wednesday 111.68 USD = -4.39% on 4.7M shares and implies ~97-99 EUR at spot — the phantom print is ~5-8% ABOVE the real tradable level, so RSI/MACD/w52 on this seat are venue artifacts and the fund #8 label in exclusions was a tie-order slip (REP.MC takes #7 on row order; no hatch effect). Kept per the published-table seed design, flagged inline; the bull/bear debate does NOT catch vendor defects — this audit finding prevails. One-off-cycle-cheap: PE_t 8.59 vs fwd 21.87 = consensus earnings roughly halve next FY (gas-cost normalization) — do NOT read trailing P/E as structural. ROE 29.9% is peak-cycle. USD stmts vs EUR quote -> unit-mixed nulls.
Scores
| Composite | 64.37 |
|---|---|
| Fundamenteel (0–100) | 56.0 |
| Technisch (−3…+10) | 7.0 |
Koers (2 jaar)
koers (index, start = 100)pick-datumsettle-venster (5/20/60 handelsdagen)
Base-100 vanaf 2024-11-12; laatste staaf 2026-11-03. Koers in quotevaluta, niet fx-gecorrigeerd. Schatting €: € 104.60 via wisselkoers 2026-11-11
Picks op deze grafiek (8)
| Nacht | Rank | Prijs toen | Perf. sinds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 4 | 103.70 EUR | +0.9% |
| 2026-10-22 | 3 | 105.55 EUR | -0.9% |
| 2026-10-23 | 3 | 107.70 EUR | -2.9% |
| 2026-10-26 | 4 | 107.90 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-27 | 7 | 108.00 EUR | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-28 | 5 | 107.25 EUR | -2.5% |
| 2026-10-29 | 3 | 105.45 EUR | -0.8% |
| 2026-11-03 | 6 | 104.60 EUR | — |
Belangrijkste metrics
| P/E (trailing) | 8.59 |
|---|---|
| P/B | 2.94 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.00 |
| PEG | 0.50 |
| ROE | 29.9% |
| Omzetgroei YoY | 17.6% |
| Verdict |
Technische indicatoren
Alleen getoond waar onze eigen backtests een bewezen signaal tonen (evidence-score ≥ 70, gepubliceerd in de trading-kb). Badges worden automatisch bijgewerkt bij elke build.
| RSI(14) — oversold-kant | — |
|---|---|
| 200DMA-regime | — |
| MACD(12,26,9) | — |
| 52w-rangepositie | — |
Geen financieel advies.
Voorgaande selecties (2026)
| Nacht | Rank | Prijs toen | ≈ EUR | Perf. sinds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | 4 | 103.70 EUR | € 103.70 | +0.9% |
| 2026-10-24 | 3 | 105.55 EUR | € 105.55 | -0.9% |
| 2026-10-25 | 3 | 107.70 EUR | € 107.70 | -2.9% |
| 2026-10-28 | 4 | 107.90 EUR | € 107.90 | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-29 | 7 | 108.00 EUR | € 108.00 | -3.1% |
| 2026-10-30 | 5 | 107.25 EUR | € 107.25 | -2.5% |
| 2026-10-31 | 3 | 105.45 EUR | € 105.45 | -0.8% |
| 2026-11-05 | 6 | 104.60 EUR | € 104.60 | — |